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NEW YORK: Trader Walter Lundon shows off his shirt featuring US President-elect Donald Trump, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City on November 6, 2024. --AFP
NEW YORK: Trader Walter Lundon shows off his shirt featuring US President-elect Donald Trump, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City on November 6, 2024. --AFP

Wall St smashes records, dollar soars

Oil, gold plunge amid renewed concerns over growth, tariffs

LONDON: Wall Street rallied into record territory, the dollar soared and bitcoin scaled a new peak Wednesday as the world gears up for another Donald Trump presidency. The Republican candidate made a stunning political comeback as he defeated Vice President Kamala Harris to return to the White House, four years after losing it to Joe Biden.

The Dow jumped three percent while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite added two percent in early deals. “The rationale behind the US stock market rally is that Trump is seen as business-friendly and will be able to pass his tax cuts through easily without much resistance from the Democrats who have lost control of the Senate,” said City Index and FOREX.com analyst Fawad Razaqzada.

Briefing.com analyst Patrick O’Hare said Trump’s policies “which feature lower tax rates and deregulation among the cornerstones, are being heralded by the stock market as pro-growth policies that will be a boon for corporate profit growth”. But in a sign that investors are also nervous about the impact of Trump’s protectionist policies, European stock markets gave up strong earlier gains to slip into the red in the afternoon.

Meanwhile, commodities from oil and gas to metals and grains dropped on Wednesday as the dollar rallied and victory for Republican Donald Trump in the US election stoked concerns about tariffs and economic growth. Oil prices fell by more than 1 percent on pressure from the US dollar rally, which was set for its biggest one-day rise since March 2023 against major peers.

Investors believe Trump’s presidency will bolster the dollar as interest rates may need to remain high to combat inflation that would stem from new tariffs. A stronger US dollar makes greenback-denominated commodities such as oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Precious metals also fell, with gold sliding to a near three-week low, while copper lost more than 2 percent, making it the worst performer of the base metals complex. “Gold will be torn between the risk of rising inflation, potentially slowing the pace of US rate cuts, as tariffs are rolled out and continued demand for safe haven assets,” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said. Commodity prices started to fall overnight as traders started to price in the likelihood of a Trump win.

Asian stocks diverged, with Chinese stocks hit by expectations that Trump would impose tariffs on Chinese imports. Market focus was also on plans to stimulate China’s economy, the world’s second biggest after the United States. Trump tax cuts, while good for corporate profits, are seen as inflationary and therefore leading to fewer interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming months. That boosted the dollar against main rivals, with the greenback up around two percent against the euro. The Fed announces its latest rate decision on Thursday.

“With the Federal Reserve expected to announce a likely 25 basis-point cut tomorrow, we are already seeing expectations reined in for the December meeting given the perception that Trump’s policies are inherently inflationary,” forecast Joshua Mahony, analyst at traders Scope Markets.

US Treasury yields also won support Wednesday. “Investors are bracing for tariffs and a clampdown on (US) immigration, policies considered to be inflationary which are likely to mean interest rates may be more elevated in the years to come,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown. She added that “expectations are high that a Trump presidency will mean fewer regulations on big tech and big finance”.

Shares in Tesla soared nearly 13 percent after Trump praised the electric car maker’s boss Elon Musk, a key campaign backer, as a “star” during his victory speech.

Bitcoin sprung $6,000 higher to a record $75,371.67, topping its previous peak of nearly $74,000 in March. Trump has pledged to make the United States the “bitcoin and cryptocurrency capital of the world” and to put tech billionaire Musk in charge of a wide-ranging audit of governmental waste.

Elsewhere, oil prices slid “amid expectations that under Trump more crude will flow from US wells”, Streeter added. “Another Trump presidency is likely to place emphasis on energy independence and his policies are likely to favor fossil fuels, promoting deregulation in the oil, gas, and coal industries,” she said. — Agencies

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